Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 88.726655 98.947948 109.345192 120.682249 132.665917 144.928011 158.395041
2025-08-17 71.595320 86.266305 101.813030 119.390256 138.592449 158.824736 181.647640
2025-08-24 61.980809 79.187141 97.978129 119.769669 144.108289 170.242418 200.219579
2025-08-31 53.590952 72.404663 93.536239 118.606242 147.148829 178.289855 214.504684
2025-09-07 48.290681 68.547033 91.858358 120.045185 152.640086 188.655108 230.988304
2025-09-14 44.066472 65.524766 90.778796 121.838477 158.247418 198.914943 247.149615
2025-09-21 39.059838 61.107154 87.685501 120.957927 160.504206 205.156767 258.590019
2025-09-28 33.957709 56.147968 83.593014 118.584820 160.759565 208.893492 266.994035
2025-10-05 32.483004 55.746425 85.009747 122.761242 168.664521 221.403992 285.403324
2025-10-12 30.455272 54.435485 85.154481 125.277481 174.511433 231.464878 300.952154
2025-10-19 27.316141 51.369962 82.879261 124.648915 176.456492 236.863954 311.024698
2025-10-26 24.454615 48.469591 80.647891 123.932032 178.178386 241.909725 320.611716
2025-11-02 22.331196 46.506563 79.583474 124.664691 181.684079 249.117066 332.813996
2025-11-09 19.852330 43.819982 77.410225 123.869747 183.229080 253.935242 342.176247
2025-11-16 17.974978 41.892419 76.156716 124.173151 186.066113 260.249122 353.264177
2025-11-23 15.808700 39.313830 73.861165 122.998759 186.964022 264.156972 361.443167
2025-11-30 14.615538 38.221180 73.596161 124.465802 191.161644 272.046665 374.359340
2025-12-07 13.620499 37.376696 73.632359 126.296948 195.796562 280.455865 387.893621
2025-12-14 11.985376 35.261282 71.710746 125.397957 196.875564 284.464597 396.107519
2025-12-21 10.135948 32.545529 68.756702 122.975023 195.902283 285.879595 401.137846
2025-12-28 9.989720 33.026479 70.634172 127.238870 203.621728 298.063578 419.227542
2026-01-04 9.473307 32.739050 71.307045 129.807171 209.121238 307.492400 433.980633
2026-01-11 8.315632 31.049270 69.731897 129.165642 210.373950 311.606789 442.249545